Guide to Cost of Production Budgeting
Table of Contents
IntroductionChoosing what crops or livestock to produce is an essential decision of any farm business. One critical factor in making that decision is the cost of producing the "enterprises" being considered. This is known as enterprise budgeting or cost of production budgeting. Enterprises are a single crop or livestock commodity that produces a marketable product. Cost of Production (COP) budgeting consists of estimating the costs associated with an enterprise and the expected revenue. This Factsheet outlines the process and use of COP budgeting for farm-level decision-making. What Is A COP BudgetWhile the format of COP budgets can vary they typically include the following sections.
How To Use Your COPKnowing your cost of production is vital for making farm level decisions. Enterprise mix decisionsIf possible, review your cost of production for each individual enterprise for the past three to five years. This shows how much each is contributing to the whole farm financial picture, illustrating which enterprise is making money and which is not. Purchasing and marketing decisionsPricing targets for inputs and outputs can be set at different cost breakeven levels. Know your breakeven points. This information allows you to take advantage of buying or selling opportunities when they arise. Use the following formulas to determine breakeven points. Breakeven price to cover variable costsTotal variable costs ÷ Expected yield = $ / unit produced This is the minimum price needed to cover variable costs. Breakeven price to cover total costsTotal costs ÷ Expected yield = $ / unit produced This is the minimum price needed to cover all costs. Breakeven yieldTotal costs ÷ Expected price = Unit produced Investment decisionsMaking the right investments in capital assets like land, machinery and buildings is critical to long-term success. COP information shows what the farm can afford to pay for those assets. Review investments in enterprises that fail to meet total costs in the long run, and redirect resources to more profitable enterprises. Preparing A COP BudgetGood cost of production information starts with good farm records. If your current recordkeeping system does allow estimating costs on an enterprise level, change it. Many paper based record books, including Publication 540, Ontario Farm Record Book, provide space to record income and expenses by enterprise. Farm accounting software makes it easier to track this level of information. Historical Estimates versus ProjectionsBudgeting estimates use either historical estimates or projections. Historical estimates use actual farm results and provide a measure of past enterprise performance. Projections are estimates for a future period. Unit Produced versus Production UnitThere are two units of measurement to base costs on in preparing a budget - unit produced or production unit.
Since the production unit remains fairly constant throughout production, budgets are usually prepared on a production unit basis. First calculate the dollar per production unit; then test this with different yield levels to calculate your dollar per unit-produced costs. Estimating Enterprise RevenueHistorical estimates use the average price received multiplied
by the average yield to arrive at enterprise revenue. Projections can use average historical price/yield or expected
price/yield, depending on the purpose of the budget. To obtain a
good planning estimate, use:
Example Average vidal grape yield per hectare × Average market price = Vidal enterprise revenue 17.5 tonnes per hectare × $555.00 per tonne = $9,712.50 per hectare Estimating Enterprise CostsThe difficulty many farmers have in COP budgeting is allocating costs to the specific enterprise. And the more enterprises there are, the more difficult the allocation process. First identify your enterprises. Include them all, even those used by other enterprises, such as hay fed to livestock. (Calculate the home-grown feed enterprise costs to determine if it is cheaper to grow feed on the farm or to purchase it from off-farm sources.) Assign costs to the individual enterprises. The American Agricultural Economics Association (AAEA) has guidelines for COP budgeting available in their publication Commodity Cost and Returns Estimation Handbook. This handbook is available at the United States Department of Agriculture's Natural Resources Conservation Service website at: www.economics.nrcs.usda.gov/care/aaea/index.html Then, use the three main approaches to estimating enterprise costs: using on farm records, market value information and formula based.
The on farm records approach can be further broken down into direct costing and allocating whole farm expenses. Direct Costing Allocating whole-farm expenses Whole farm expenses include items such as:
You must allocate whole farm expenses to arrive at a total cost of production for an enterprise. But this should have no effect on enterprise selection decisions. Your enterprise choices should be the same after allocating whole farm expenses as it was before they were added. Common allocation methods of whole farm expenses:
No one allocation method is right for every farm business or every enterprise or for all expenses; it may take a variety of methods. Use the method that makes the most sense for your farm and each expense. Once allocations are developed and, provided there are no significant changes to the enterprise mix, keep them consistent. This will make for better year-to-year comparisons.
Market value uses current market prices to determine the cost estimate. This is commonly used for costs such as land, labour and machinery. The preferred estimate for land costs is the cash rental rate, since cash rental rates are assumed to cover all costs associated with owning agricultural land. Labour requirements on the farm can be supplied by a combination of paid and unpaid labour. To estimate costs for all labour multiply the total number of hours needed (paid and unpaid) in an enterprise by the current hourly wage rate. Machinery costs can be difficult to estimate on an enterprise level. A common approach is to use the custom farmwork rates for the operations involved in the enterprise to arrive at the enterprise machinery cost. The downside to using market values is they may not accurately reflect what is happening on your farm. There can be large differences between market prices and your own costs. Use your records to provide the most accurate measure of costs.
A formula-based approach is particularly useful for estimating capital costs associated with farm machinery and buildings. This method takes fuel use and repair rates, replacement costs and years of expected life to insert into formulas that calculate annual variable and fixed costs. See OMAFRA Factsheets Budgeting Farm Machinery Costs, Order Number 01-075 and Lease Agreements for Farm Buildings, Order Number 03-095, for detailed information and tables to calculate machinery and building costs using the formula-based approach. Estimation approaches summaryThere is nothing wrong with using different methods for different individual costs. Recommended Estimation Approaches by Enterprise Expense, presents AAEA's recommended methods on an individual cost basis. If information is not available for the recommended estimation method, choose another method where information is available. Remember that it is better to use your own commodity specific information as this will provide the best estimate of your farm's COP. Other Cost ConsiderationsEstablishment costs - Perennial crops only produce after an "establishment" period. The costs associated with this non-productive time need to be recovered during the crops productive life. Include an estimate of the annual cost to recover establishment costs in the annual budget of the years in full production. Spread these costs over the expected productive life of the crop. Depreciation is a non-cash cost that measures the loss of value of machinery or buildings over time. It is the portion of the cost of the machinery or building that is counted as an expense each year. Costs are spread over their expected useful life. The depreciation rate used for tax purposes typically does not reflect the expected useful life of the asset. A rate that better reflects the life of the asset is more appropriate for business management purposes. InterestInterest paid on loans is the actual cash paid in interest for existing loans. This gives a good estimate for cash flow purposes but fails to account for the cost of having your money invested in the operation. Interest on investment represents the cost of money tied up in purchasing assets or operating inputs whether the money is borrowed or your own. This is also referred to as the opportunity cost; it is what you could have earned with that money if you had invested it in the next best alternative. The interest rate used should reflect conservative rates of return for money that could be obtained in the current market, e.g. GIC rate, T-Bill rate or the current lending rate for operating credit. This assigns an interest cost to your investments regardless of whether the money is borrowed or not. Recommended Estimation Approaches by Enterprise ExpenseEstimation ApproachDirectCommodity purchases (seed, livestock, feed grain) Allocate Whole Farm ExpensesMotor vehicle expenses Market ValueLabour Formula-basedMachinery (gasoline, diesel, fuel, oil) DirectFertilizers and soil supplements Allocate Whole Farm ExpensesSmall tools Market ValueAgricultural Contract work Formula-basedMachinery (repairs, licenses, insurance) DirectPesticides and chemical treatments Allocate Whole Farm ExpensesContainers and twine Market ValueFreight and shipping Formula-basedBuilding and fence repairs DirectPrepared feed, minerals and salts Allocate Whole Farm ExpensesSoil testing Market ValueCommissions and levies Formula-basedDepreciation (buildings and machinery) DirectCustom feeding Allocate Whole Farm ExpensesOffice expenses/legal and accounting fees Market ValueStorage/drying Formula-basedInterest (operating) DirectVeterinary fees, medicine, breeding fees Allocate Whole Farm ExpensesAdvertising and promotion costs Market ValueRent (land, buildings, pastures) Formula-basedInterest (real estate, mortgage, term loans) DirectInsurance premiums (crop or production) Allocate Whole Farm ExpensesMemberships/subscriptions/licenses/permits Market ValueMachinery lease/rental DirectOther crop and livestock supplies Allocate Whole Farm ExpensesMotor vehicle interest and leasing costs
Allocate Whole Farm ExpensesUtilities (electricity, telephone, heating fuel) Market Value
Allocate Whole Farm ExpensesOther insurance premiums Allocate Whole Farm ExpensesProperty taxes
Land costs are a good example. If there is no land debt there are no cash interest costs; but there is a cost associated with having money invested in land and not available for other uses. Use the formula-based method to calculate interest on investment. Example Interest on investment costs = Land value x interest on investment rate Land value - Land is valued at its current fair-market value for agricultural purposes. (e.g. $1,400/hectare) Interest on investment rate - use conservative, current market
investment rates Interest on investment on land = Land value x interest rate = $1,400
x 3.5% = $49.00 per hectare The OMAFRA Factsheet Cash Lease Agreements for Cropland, Order Number 01-071, discusses in detail the process outlined above for calculating land costs. Livestock Replacement and Death Loss CostsWhether raised on the farm or purchased, factor in the cost to replace livestock. Market value is typically used to estimate these costs. Replacement cost is the net value between the estimated market value of replacements and the estimated cull value multiplied by the replacement rate. The replacement rate incorporates a cull rate and a death loss rate. Example Sow replacement cost Replacement value = 300.00 Replacement cost = Net value x (replacement rate + death loss rate) = $150 x 40% = $60.00 Not all animals being raised for sale make it there, so consider death loss in your market livestock. Use a reasonable death rate to reduce the number of expected market livestock. Then the market livestock bears the cost that went into the livestock that died along the way. Interpreting A COP BudgetYour COP budget measures three different margins:
Start with the contribution margin, then move to the gross margin and end with the profit margin. Each margin provides information to make farm level decisions. Appendix 1, Farm Enterprise Allocation Record, will help you through this process. Contribution MarginContribution margin is revenue minus direct variable costs or production related costs. For crops this includes seed, fertilizer, pesticides, crop insurance and marketing. For livestock this includes feed, livestock purchases, custom feeding, health, breeding and marketing. This is the simplest margin to calculate since you are dealing with costs directly related to growing crops or raising livestock. If the contribution margin is negative at this point, think seriously about whether this will ever be a profitable enterprise. Costs would need to be significantly reduced or revenue significantly increased to make it worthwhile - and there are still many costs that have not yet been included. Use contribution margin as a quick reference point in making short term cropping decisions. If a new crop does not require additional labour or machinery, the direct variable costs of your crop choices will change the most from one crop to the next. The contribution margin tells you whether the enterprise is contributing to the other indirect costs and by how much compared to other enterprises. Gross MarginGross margin is revenue minus all variable costs. This involves allocating whole farm costs that all enterprises must share. Use the gross margin to decide if it makes sense to invest in capital assets for this enterprise. Capital assets are long-term assets with a useful life longer than a year. These include land, buildings, machinery and quota. If the gross margin is negative, determine if anything can be realistically done on the cost or revenue side to turn this into a positive. A positive number indicates that the enterprise does contribute to paying some or all of its fixed farm costs. If, for example, the enterprise covers all variable costs and only a portion of fixed costs, you could continue with the enterprise in the short run, while looking at either cost reductions or revenue increases to have it cover all costs in the future. Profit MarginProfit margin is revenue minus all variable and fixed costs. Without long-term profit, a farm business is not sustainable. Sustainability depends on every enterprise covering all costs and providing a return to management. Risk and the COP BudgetFarming is a risky business and profit is a return to risk. To make a profit, you must take risk. The goal is to learn to manage it. It is necessary to develop reasonable expected yield, cost and price estimates in decision making. However, expected outcomes are not enough for effective decision making. A producer must also consider the consequences of outcomes other than those expected or are considered most likely. Think of these other outcomes as the 'what ifs' of decision making. What if weather is less favourable than expected? What if market prices are lower than expected? What if insects or disease reduce yields or increase death losses for livestock? What if a crop is wiped out by hail or flood? Since a wide variety of 'what ifs' can affect yield, price and cost, it is highly unlikely that actual net returns will match your estimated the net returns. Understanding and anticipating these unpredictable risks, is critical to budgeting. The Budgeting Tools of the Ontario Enterprise Budgets on OMAFRA's Agriculture Business Management website (www.ontario.ca/agbusiness, select Cost of Production Budgets) allow you to assess the potential impact of production and marketing risk factors and risk management strategies. In each commodity budget expected as well as optimistic and pessimistic outcomes for key risk variables are submitted. Based on these entries the tool then calculates an assessment of how much risk is involved in this enterprise. SummaryCost of production information is an essential ingredient for farm level decision making. Knowing your cost of production is the first step in controlling them. Good cost of production information starts with good farm records. If your current recordkeeping system does not lend itself to estimating your costs on an enterprise level, start making changes today. ReferencesCommodity Costs and Returns Estimation Handbook, American Agricultural Economics Association, February 2000
Other OMAFRA Business Resources
Internet Resources
Appendix 1. Farm Enterprise Allocation Record
For more information: Toll Free: 1-877-424-1300 Local: (519) 826-4047 E-mail: ag.info.omafra@ontario.ca |
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